INFINIMIND← back to the globeSituation figures

Situation figures

Four sources report on the same war every day. They do not agree, and they are not the same kind of thing. What follows keeps them apart: every series says who states it, and what that makes it.

29 series · 2026-06-17 to 2026-09-15 · 90-day window · built 2026-09-15 05:25 UTC

How to read this

  • Every figure carries who states it. Two belligerents claim, a mapping project measures its own map, an institute assesses. Placed side by side without that distinction, claims turn into statistics.
  • Each series carries a baseline, the median of the last 30 days. A daily figure without a baseline is a headline, not a quantity.
  • Where the sources contradict each other, the contradiction is the finding. It is not resolved here.

The four sources

Ukrainian General Staffclaimed by a belligerent

Daily morning report by a belligerent. These are claims, not measurements: their value is in the trend, not in any single day.

Russian Ministry of Defenceclaimed by a belligerent

Daily briefing by the opposing belligerent, published in English. Cumulative figures are the ministry's own running totals and are not independently verified.

DeepStateMapmeasured from a published map

Pro-Ukrainian mapping project. Areas are computed from the published map geometry, so this is a measurement of the map, not of the ground.

Institute for the Study of Warassessed by an institute

Washington-based, not a belligerent, Western-aligned. Counted here: length of the daily assessment and the number of passages in which it explicitly refutes a claim made by either side.

Ukrainian General Staffclaimed by a belligerent

  1. Shelling incidents

    2,839 on 2026-09-15

    Baseline (30-day median): 2,978 · latest is -5% against it · 90 reported days, 2026-06-17 to 2026-09-15

  2. Engagements

    262 on 2026-09-15

    Baseline (30-day median): 236.5 · latest is +11% against it · 90 reported days, 2026-06-17 to 2026-09-15

  3. Glide bombs

    280 on 2026-09-15

    Baseline (30-day median): 298 · latest is -6% against it · 66 reported days, 2026-06-24 to 2026-09-15

  4. One-way attack drones

    10,368 on 2026-09-15

    Baseline (30-day median): 10,812 · latest is -4% against it · 56 reported days, 2026-06-21 to 2026-09-15

  5. Air strikes

    81 on 2026-09-15

    Baseline (30-day median): 77.5 · latest is +5% against it · 30 reported days, 2026-06-17 to 2026-09-15

  6. Claimed Russian artillery

    41 on 2026-09-15

    Baseline (30-day median): 60.5 · latest is -32% against it · 90 reported days, 2026-06-17 to 2026-09-15

  7. Claimed Russian drones

    1,839 on 2026-09-15

    Baseline (30-day median): 1,837 · latest is +0% against it · 61 reported days, 2026-06-18 to 2026-09-15

  8. Claimed Russian vehicles

    376 on 2026-09-15

    Baseline (30-day median): 459.5 · latest is -18% against it · 90 reported days, 2026-06-17 to 2026-09-15

  9. Claimed Russian MLRS

    4 on 2026-09-15

    Baseline (30-day median): 3 · latest is +33% against it · 51 reported days, 2026-06-17 to 2026-09-15

  10. Claimed Russian tanks

    2 on 2026-09-13

    Baseline (30-day median): 3 · latest is -33% against it · 79 reported days, 2026-06-17 to 2026-09-13

  11. Claimed Russian armoured fighting vehicles

    3 on 2026-09-15

    Baseline (30-day median): 4 · latest is -25% against it · 23 reported days, 2026-06-18 to 2026-09-15

  12. Claimed Russian personnel losses

    1,400 on 2026-09-15

    Baseline (30-day median): 1,430 · latest is -2% against it · 90 reported days, 2026-06-17 to 2026-09-15

Russian Ministry of Defenceclaimed by a belligerent

  1. Cumulative claimed Ukrainian artillery

    36,454 on 2026-09-14

    Baseline (30-day median): 36,294 · latest is +0% against it · 76 reported days, 2026-06-17 to 2026-09-14

  2. Cumulative claimed Ukrainian drones

    236,000 on 2026-09-14

    Baseline (30-day median): 221,505 · latest is +7% against it · 75 reported days, 2026-06-17 to 2026-09-14

  3. Cumulative claimed Ukrainian vehicles

    71,878 on 2026-09-14

    Baseline (30-day median): 70,853 · latest is +1% against it · 21 reported days, 2026-06-24 to 2026-09-14

  4. Cumulative claimed Ukrainian aircraft

    674 on 2026-09-14

    Baseline (30-day median): 674 · latest is +0% against it · 74 reported days, 2026-06-17 to 2026-09-14

  5. Cumulative claimed Ukrainian helicopters

    284 on 2026-09-14

    Baseline (30-day median): 284 · latest is +0% against it · 76 reported days, 2026-06-17 to 2026-09-14

  6. Cumulative claimed Ukrainian MLRS

    1,777 on 2026-09-14

    Baseline (30-day median): 1,775 · latest is +0% against it · 76 reported days, 2026-06-17 to 2026-09-14

  7. Cumulative claimed Ukrainian tanks and AFVs

    30,922 on 2026-09-14

    Baseline (30-day median): 30,741 · latest is +1% against it · 76 reported days, 2026-06-17 to 2026-09-14

  8. Settlements claimed captured

    4 on 2026-09-14

    Baseline (30-day median): 1 · latest is +300% against it · 35 reported days, 2026-06-18 to 2026-09-14

  9. Claimed Ukrainian drones shot down

    902 on 2026-09-13

    Baseline (30-day median): 759.5 · latest is +19% against it · 43 reported days, 2026-06-17 to 2026-09-13

  10. Claimed Ukrainian glide bombs intercepted

    12 on 2026-09-08

    Baseline (30-day median): 12.5 · latest is -4% against it · 32 reported days, 2026-06-17 to 2026-09-08

  11. Claimed Ukrainian personnel losses

    1,435 on 2026-09-14

    Baseline (30-day median): 1,397.5 · latest is +3% against it · 79 reported days, 2026-06-17 to 2026-09-14

DeepStateMapmeasured from a published map

  1. Occupied area (km2)

    72,946.2 on 2026-09-15

    Baseline (30-day median): 72,921.4 · latest is +0% against it · 11 reported days, 2026-09-05 to 2026-09-15

  2. Net daily change (km2)

    11.4 on 2026-09-15

    Baseline (30-day median): 4.3 · latest is +165% against it · 10 reported days, 2026-09-06 to 2026-09-15

  3. Daily Russian loss (km2)

    0 on 2026-09-15

    Baseline (30-day median): 0 · 10 reported days, 2026-09-06 to 2026-09-15

  4. Daily Russian gain (km2)

    11.4 on 2026-09-15

    Baseline (30-day median): 4.4 · latest is +161% against it · 10 reported days, 2026-09-06 to 2026-09-15

Institute for the Study of Warassessed by an institute

  1. Length of the daily assessment (characters)

    32,484 on 2026-09-14

    Baseline (30-day median): 40,436 · latest is -20% against it · 11 reported days, 2026-09-04 to 2026-09-14

  2. Explicit refutations in the daily assessment

    3 on 2026-09-14

    Baseline (30-day median): 1 · latest is +200% against it · 11 reported days, 2026-09-04 to 2026-09-14

Front line areasmeasured from a published map

Areas computed from the published map geometry by class. This measures the map, not the ground: where the map is wrong, so is the area.

  1. befreit

    41,115.7 km2 on 2026-09-15

    11 days, 2026-09-05 to 2026-09-15

  2. besetzt

    72,946.2 km2 on 2026-09-15

    11 days, 2026-09-05 to 2026-09-15

  3. krim

    27,110.9 km2 on 2026-09-15

    11 days, 2026-09-05 to 2026-09-15

  4. ordlo_2014

    16,756 km2 on 2026-09-15

    11 days, 2026-09-05 to 2026-09-15

  5. status_unbekannt

    1,686 km2 on 2026-09-15

    11 days, 2026-09-05 to 2026-09-15

Daily brief

A written daily situation brief is produced from these figures and from the same sources. It is not published here yet: its length and structure are still being settled. Latest brief compiled 2026-09-15.

Limits and method for the rest of this site: /limits.